Wednesday, May 2, 2012

VOA News: USA: Volunteers Clean up Los Angeles River

VOA News: USA
USA Voice of America
Volunteers Clean up Los Angeles River
May 2nd 2012, 13:42

Thousands of volunteers gathered at the Los Angeles River recently for an annual cleanup of the urban waterway.  Many residents know the river as a concrete drainage channel, but a major effort is underway to restore it to its natural state.

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Flood control channels encase the Los Angeles River, which is dry for most of the year but springs to life forcefully when the winter rains begin in November and December.  Each April, as the waters subside, volunteers like Sigita Saliklis clean up the trash caught in the vegetation during the winter.

"It is probably 99 percent plastic bags," said Saliklis.  "The rest is cans or plastic cups."

Larger items find their way here as well, says clean-up volunteer Julie Colomes.

"Hoses, bike parts, mattresses, clothes.  I have got a couple of jeans.  So it is a lot of stuff and I am glad it is getting cleaned," Colomes noted.

The wildlife is coming back, says California State Senator Kevin de León, who supports the river revitalization.

"You see the beautiful birds that are on this river, and it is like they are not waiting for any politicians, either at the local, state or federal level.  Nature is busting through this concrete," said De León.

Melanie Winter of the environmental group The River Project says the elements of this river form a watershed, an ecosystem that purifies the water naturally.

"Soil matrix, plants, those all do a good job of helping to clean out water pollution, so the benefits go on and on and on," Winter said.

The L.A. River cleanup took place on a National Day of Action, called by the non-profit organization Keep America Beautiful.  Paul Racs is with the Los Angeles Office of Community Beautification.

"Throughout the country, there are thousands of volunteers that are coming out and participating in community cleanup and beautification programs," said Racs.

The federal government is also supporting river restoration in many Americans cities.  This project is special for Pauline Louie of the Los Angeles office of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.  She grew up near the river.

"Not only from a professional standpoint, but from a personal standpoint, I feel vested in
taking this on as a personal contribution to seeing the LA River become all that it can be," said Louie.

In Los Angeles, this day of service brings people together around the river, says the founder of the group Friends of the Los Angeles River, Lewis MacAdams.

"And instead of being a divider of the city, it becomes a gathering place, like the old gospel song goes, 'We will meet you down by the river,'" said MacAdams.

These volunteers hope to make the 80-kilometer urban waterway an important part of the Los Angeles landscape, as it was in the city's early days two centuries ago.

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VOA News: Europe: Citizens' Access to Information Limited in Many Countries

VOA News: Europe
Europe Voice of America
Citizens' Access to Information Limited in Many Countries
May 2nd 2012, 13:00

Media freedom is usually considered essential for healthy and vibrant societies.  But as the hunger for unlimited information grows globally, some governments are doing whatever they can to limit -- and sometimes block -- access to it.

<!--AV--> Everyone wants access to unlimited and unobstructed information but not everyone gets it.

"Seeking and receiving information is a fundamental human right," stresses Joel Simon, Executive Director of the Committee to Protect Journalists, an independent organization that promotes press freedom worldwide.  His organization recently published a report on the world's 10 most-censored nations. The East African country of Eritrea is at the top of the list.



"Eritrea is just completely closed," he explained.  "No journalists are getting in.  There are no international bureaus.  It's completely censored. "

But Dawit Haile from the Eritrean embassy in Washington says the report is groundless.

"There are various and many types of satellite dishes that are available throughout the city," Haile noted, "but also the countryside - also the city is filled with internet cafes, and people read all kinds of information."

Eritrea is not alone. This year's CPJ list includes countries like North Korea, Syria, Iran, Equatorial Guinea, Uzbekistan, Burma, Cuba, Belarus, and a new entry from the Middle East.

"Saudi Arabia has long been a closed society," explained Simon of the CPJ.  "A wide range of political criticism that might be defined as blasphemy, as criticism of religious institutions, is heavily suppressed."

No immediate response to the report was available from the Saudi embassy in Washington.

Although professional journalists continue to play a critical role, more of the information flow is being provided by citizen journalists, through blogs and social media platforms. Mark Jurkowitz is with the Pew Research Center's Excellence in Journalism project - a non-partisan and non-profit organization.

"We have seen journalism, or at least the disseminating of news and information, move from just those who had the ability to own a printing press or a TV station to frankly almost anyone, any citizen. That's a tremendously important development," noted Jurkowitz.

In the age of information overload,  it can sometimes be hard to know what's true.  And governments are still able to censor information - protecting their own interests, often at the expense of people's right to know.  But despite the never-ending challenges of news gathering, most journalists go out every day with a simple goal of giving the viewer, listener or reader the truth.  Most journalists take that role seriously, some even paying the ultimate price. So far this year, 17 journalists have died.

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VOA News: Americas: Citizens' Access to Information Limited in Many Countries

VOA News: Americas
Americas Voice of America
Citizens' Access to Information Limited in Many Countries
May 2nd 2012, 13:00

Media freedom is usually considered essential for healthy and vibrant societies.  But as the hunger for unlimited information grows globally, some governments are doing whatever they can to limit -- and sometimes block -- access to it.

<!--AV--> Everyone wants access to unlimited and unobstructed information but not everyone gets it.

"Seeking and receiving information is a fundamental human right," stresses Joel Simon, Executive Director of the Committee to Protect Journalists, an independent organization that promotes press freedom worldwide.  His organization recently published a report on the world's 10 most-censored nations. The East African country of Eritrea is at the top of the list.



"Eritrea is just completely closed," he explained.  "No journalists are getting in.  There are no international bureaus.  It's completely censored. "

But Dawit Haile from the Eritrean embassy in Washington says the report is groundless.

"There are various and many types of satellite dishes that are available throughout the city," Haile noted, "but also the countryside - also the city is filled with internet cafes, and people read all kinds of information."

Eritrea is not alone. This year's CPJ list includes countries like North Korea, Syria, Iran, Equatorial Guinea, Uzbekistan, Burma, Cuba, Belarus, and a new entry from the Middle East.

"Saudi Arabia has long been a closed society," explained Simon of the CPJ.  "A wide range of political criticism that might be defined as blasphemy, as criticism of religious institutions, is heavily suppressed."

No immediate response to the report was available from the Saudi embassy in Washington.

Although professional journalists continue to play a critical role, more of the information flow is being provided by citizen journalists, through blogs and social media platforms. Mark Jurkowitz is with the Pew Research Center's Excellence in Journalism project - a non-partisan and non-profit organization.

"We have seen journalism, or at least the disseminating of news and information, move from just those who had the ability to own a printing press or a TV station to frankly almost anyone, any citizen. That's a tremendously important development," noted Jurkowitz.

In the age of information overload,  it can sometimes be hard to know what's true.  And governments are still able to censor information - protecting their own interests, often at the expense of people's right to know.  But despite the never-ending challenges of news gathering, most journalists go out every day with a simple goal of giving the viewer, listener or reader the truth.  Most journalists take that role seriously, some even paying the ultimate price. So far this year, 17 journalists have died.

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VOA News: Asia: Citizens' Access to Information Limited in Many Countries

VOA News: Asia
Asia Voice of America
Citizens' Access to Information Limited in Many Countries
May 2nd 2012, 13:00

Media freedom is usually considered essential for healthy and vibrant societies.  But as the hunger for unlimited information grows globally, some governments are doing whatever they can to limit -- and sometimes block -- access to it.

<!--AV--> Everyone wants access to unlimited and unobstructed information but not everyone gets it.

"Seeking and receiving information is a fundamental human right," stresses Joel Simon, Executive Director of the Committee to Protect Journalists, an independent organization that promotes press freedom worldwide.  His organization recently published a report on the world's 10 most-censored nations. The East African country of Eritrea is at the top of the list.



"Eritrea is just completely closed," he explained.  "No journalists are getting in.  There are no international bureaus.  It's completely censored. "

But Dawit Haile from the Eritrean embassy in Washington says the report is groundless.

"There are various and many types of satellite dishes that are available throughout the city," Haile noted, "but also the countryside - also the city is filled with internet cafes, and people read all kinds of information."

Eritrea is not alone. This year's CPJ list includes countries like North Korea, Syria, Iran, Equatorial Guinea, Uzbekistan, Burma, Cuba, Belarus, and a new entry from the Middle East.

"Saudi Arabia has long been a closed society," explained Simon of the CPJ.  "A wide range of political criticism that might be defined as blasphemy, as criticism of religious institutions, is heavily suppressed."

No immediate response to the report was available from the Saudi embassy in Washington.

Although professional journalists continue to play a critical role, more of the information flow is being provided by citizen journalists, through blogs and social media platforms. Mark Jurkowitz is with the Pew Research Center's Excellence in Journalism project - a non-partisan and non-profit organization.

"We have seen journalism, or at least the disseminating of news and information, move from just those who had the ability to own a printing press or a TV station to frankly almost anyone, any citizen. That's a tremendously important development," noted Jurkowitz.

In the age of information overload,  it can sometimes be hard to know what's true.  And governments are still able to censor information - protecting their own interests, often at the expense of people's right to know.  But despite the never-ending challenges of news gathering, most journalists go out every day with a simple goal of giving the viewer, listener or reader the truth.  Most journalists take that role seriously, some even paying the ultimate price. So far this year, 17 journalists have died.

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VOA News: Asia: Climate Change ‘Time Machine' Experiment Opens In Australia

VOA News: Asia
Asia Voice of America
Climate Change 'Time Machine' Experiment Opens In Australia
May 2nd 2012, 12:04

One of the world's most complex experiments on the impact of rising levels of carbon dioxide is taking shape in eastern Australia, where giant steel frames nine stories high have been built on native woodland.  The project near Sydney will mimic future climatic conditions by simulating higher atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide. 

Measuring carbon dioxide

Carbon dioxide is pumped into an environmental "time machine" on the outskirts of Sydney, aiming to predict how vegetation will react to future climate change.

The experiment features giant cylindrical steel frames 28 meters tall that rise above native woodland, called bushland.  They will simulate elevated levels of CO2 that the planet could experience in the next half century.

Professor David Ellsworth from the University of Western Sydney is in charge of this unique project. "We have six of these arrays of pipes up in the woodland designed to emit carbon dioxide in a computer-controlled system so we can study how this ecosystem responds a rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration," he said.

It has taken researchers a year to build this industrial-looking ecological experiment, which will last for a decade.

The university says it is the world's biggest outdoor carbon dioxide trial, and the only one to use mature woodland.

"My name is Steven Wohl from the University of Western Sydney.  I am the senior engineering officer for the EucFace site.  Where we are going up now is a 22-meter tall modular scaffolding placed in the center of the ring," he explained. "It allows us to place instrumentation at different heights in the canopy and also gives the researchers a unique perspective of the canopy." 

Long-term project, research

Professor Ellsworth says the research, which will last for a decade, will give policy makers more information about how to plan for future climate change. "We're hoping to find out how this ecosystem actually responds to carbon dioxide concentration of the future, and whether it will actually store more carbon or not.  That's really important from the standpoint of native bush in Australia which occupies a very large part of our land mass," he noted.

Australia's large tracts of undeveloped land, known as bush, are a key part of plans to store carbon emissions. How much carbon the ecosystem can absorb is a key question for the country's future.

"If native bush is not able to do more than it currently does at the present day, then we need to know that pretty urgently. I think," said Ellsworth.

Ian Anderson is a director of research at the University of Western Sydney, which has a range of studies looking at shifting levels of carbon dioxide. 

"Most of our experiments are aimed at looking at in the order of 30-50 years ahead based on predictions, so our CO2 concentrations and our temperature treatments are based around looking ahead to that sort of timeframe.  We also have the experimental facilities to actually look back in time," said Anderson. "So we can actually take CO2 out of the atmospheres in some of our controlled environment rooms and look at how those plants would've responded back in time, I guess to build up a bit of a picture of where they've been, where we are now and where we are going to go to in the future."  

Funded by taxpayers, the government says these experiments will transform climate change research in Australia, which emits more greenhouse gas pollution per person than anywhere else in the developed world.

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VOA News: Middle East: Rights Group Accuses Syria of War Crimes

VOA News: Middle East
Middle East Voice of America
Rights Group Accuses Syria of War Crimes
May 2nd 2012, 11:28

An international rights group Wednesday accused Syria of committing war crimes, while activists said rebels killed 15 security force members in what could be another sign a U.N.-brokered cease-fire has frayed.  

<!--IMAGE-RIGHT--> Human Rights Watch says Syrian forces and pro-government militias killed at least 95 civilians between late March and early April in the northwestern Idlib province, in the lead-up to the April cease-fire brokered by international envoy Kofi Annan.

In a Wednesday report, the group's Anna Neistat said it was as if government forces "used every minute before the cease-fire to cause harm."

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights says rebels killed 15 security force members in an ambush in Aleppo province on Wednesday.

The the incident came a day after rights groups and activists said at least 30 people were killed in anti-government related violence, including nine family members an Idlib province village.

U.N. observers say the Syrian military still has heavy weapons stationed in cities, and that the government and opposition have both violated a peace plan aimed at ending the unrest.

Meanwhile, mission spokesman Neeraj Singh says the number of military observers in Syria rose to 31 on Wednesday.

"The teams are already in the area, as you  know, Homs, Hama, Daraa, idlib, so in their areas they will be carrying out activities," Singh said.

Under the U.N. plan, the number of monitors in Syria will eventually increase to 300.

The United Nations estimates at least 9,000 people have been killed since President Bashar al-Assad began cracking down on an uprising against him in March of last year.

Some information for this report was provided by AFP and Reuters.

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VOA News: Asia: Bombs Target Afghan Capital

VOA News: Asia
Asia Voice of America
Bombs Target Afghan Capital
May 2nd 2012, 10:48

Afghan officials say a car bomb has killed at least seven people in the capital, Kabul, just hours after U.S. President Barack Obama left the city following an unannounced visit.

Kabul police say Wednesday's suicide car bombing was near Jalalabad road, the main road heading east from the capital. The attack apparently targeted a large heavily secured complex called the "Green Village" that houses hundreds of international workers.

Officials say the attack killed five civilians and a security guard. The seventh victim has not been identified. NATO said Afghan security forces have contained and killed all attackers.

NATO spokesman General Carsten Jacobson call the bombing "another desperate attack" that resulted in the deaths of "innocent Afghan civilians."

Taliban insurgents claimed responsibility for the attack and said it was in response to President Obama's visit. A statement from the Taliban announced that they will launch their spring offensive across Afghanistan on Thursday.

Witnesses heard at least one other explosion in the eastern part of the capital. Gunfire followed the blasts.

During Obama's quick visit, he signed the Strategic Partnership Agreement with his Afghan counterpart, Hamid Karzai.

Meanwhile, NATO said a bomb attack killed two service members Wednesday in eastern Afghanistan.



Some information for this report was provided by AP, AFP and Reuters.

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VOA News: Asia: Blind Activist Leaves Embassy in Beijing

VOA News: Asia
Asia Voice of America
Blind Activist Leaves Embassy in Beijing
May 2nd 2012, 11:29

U.S. officials say a blind Chinese dissident who escaped house arrest and went to the U.S. embassy in Beijing has left the facility to seek medical care and be reunited with his family.

A State Department official told reporters Wednesday that the Chinese government has agreed to relocate Chen Guangcheng to a "safe" location in China and promised to allow him to attend a university. The official said Chen did not request political asylum in the United States.

China's official Xinhua news agency reported Chen's departure from the embassy earlier Wednesday. It said Chen had stayed at the facility for six days before leaving "of his own volition."  China's foreign ministry demanded that the U.S. apologize for taking in Chen, calling it an unacceptable interference in Chinese affairs. It also said Washington should punish those responsible and give assurances that no other dissidents will be given refuge.

Several reports have said Chen was being escorted with U.S. Ambassador Gary Locke to a Beijing hospital, where the activist would be reunited with his family.

The case has overshadowed high-level annual talks between Chinese and U.S. officials, who had both refused to comment on the issue before Wednesday.

Chen's departure comes just hours after Secretary of State Hillary Clinton arrived in China for two days of security and economic talks that begin Thursday. Before arriving in China Tuesday, Clinton did not address Chen's case, but promised that human rights would be discussed.

Earlier Wednesday, an editorial in the Communist Party-affiliated Global Times newspaper downplayed the Chen incident, saying it will not affect China-U.S. relations.

Chen is a lawyer and human rights activist who has been blind since childhood. He was given a four-year prison sentence in 2006 for exposing abuses under China's forced abortion policy aimed at population control. He had been under house arrest since 2010, before escaping on April 22.

He posted an Internet video last week saying he, his wife, and young daughter were abused during his house arrest. He also called on Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao to investigate human rights abuses in China.

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VOA News: Asia: Burma's Aung San Suu Kyi Makes History with Parliamentary Oath

VOA News: Asia
Asia Voice of America
Burma's Aung San Suu Kyi Makes History with Parliamentary Oath
May 2nd 2012, 09:22

Burma's long-time democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi has officially been sworn in as a member of parliament, taking public office for the first time after spending much of the past two decades under house arrest.

The Nobel laureate took the oath of office Wednesday to enter Burma's lower legislative house, ending a parliamentary boycott that had threatened to interrupt the country's political reform process.

For more than a week, the 66-year-old opposition leader and her National League for Democracy had refused to take the oath because it required them to "safeguard" the constitution, which was drafted by Burma's former military rulers.

But the NLD earlier this week agreed to take the pledge, while vowing to push for constitutional change through legislative action.

Aung San Suu Kyi said after taking the oath that she has no qualms about sitting next to Burmese military members, who still make up the bulk of the country's parliament. But she said she would like to see the country's legislative bodies become more democratic.

"We would like our parliament to be in line with genuine democratic values," she said. "It's not because we want to remove anybody, as such. We just want to make the kind of improvements that would make our national assembly truly democratic."

Parliament member Win Oo of the military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party praised Aung San Suu Kyi's decision to back down from her parliamentary boycott.

"The fact that Suu Kyi has come to the parliament is good, because as we have said so many times, if we want to achieve things for the benefit of the people and the country we should let sleeping dogs lie," he said.

The NLD, which won 43 of the 45 available seats in April 1 by-elections, now becomes the main opposition party in Burma's bicameral legislature that is still dominated by military-backed political parties. Observers say the NLD will likely not have enough power to affect much immediate change to the constitution, which sets aside a quarter of all seats in parliament for unelected military members.

Aung San Suu Kyi's party won a landslide victory in general elections in 1990. But military leaders at the time refused to relinquish power and the victors were refused entry into parliament. The NLD boycotted the 2010 elections that ended decades of military rule in Burma.  

Since then, President Thein Sein and his new nominally civilian government have enacted a series of democratic reforms, including easing press restrictions and releasing hundreds of political prisoners.

The international community has responded to the reforms by lifting many of the long-standing sanctions against Burma. But some rights groups are reacting to the reforms with guarded optimism.

Benjamin Zawacki, an Asia researcher at Amnesty International, says the global community should not forget that Burma has much work to do, particularly in regards to releasing political prisoners.

"While we certainly celebrate that roughly half, or more perhaps than half of political prisoners in the country have been released, we feel like attention needs to remain on those yet to be released, so that the job can be finished," said Zawacki.

Zawacki says international calls for the release of additional political prisoners in Burma have been muted following the release of several high-profile activists since May 2011. But rights groups estimate that hundreds of prisoners of conscience are yet to be released.

Some information for this report was provided by AP, AFP and Reuters.

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Tuesday, May 1, 2012

VOA News: Asia: China's Domestic Security Scandals Expose Unchecked Local Power

VOA News: Asia
Asia Voice of America
China's Domestic Security Scandals Expose Unchecked Local Power
May 2nd 2012, 03:05

After the daring escape of a blind Chinese dissident from house arrest and a string of corruption allegations in Chongqing, some are questioning whether Beijing has given local officials too much autonomy over public security. Away from the watchful eye of the central government and contrary to nascent reform efforts, a culture of impunity appears to have flourished.

James Lewis of the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington says reports that former Chongqing Communist Party leader Bo Xilai wiretapped President Hu Jintao are plausible because Beijing has relinquished control of its surveillance and information technology to regional leaders.

"Whether it's wireless or a landline or Internet, you need to control those companies in some way," he said. "And that's where the ownership and control of local networks, the security services, turns out to be the determining factor."

Bo, the charismatic son of one of the Communist Party's founding fathers, forged  powerful alliances with key telecommunications and security officials. Among the purported allies, according to the New York Times, was Fang Binxing, the dean of Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, and the so-called father of China's "Great Firewall."

Domestic Security

The security apparatus in China is enormous. The country has dedicated about $110 billion to its domestic security budget this year, an even bigger pot than its defense spending. Keeping a close eye on the people has soared in importance as China's citizens become more connected online, and more vocal offline about perceived injustice.

Bo led the charge, receiving funding from the central government to turn Chongqing into a testing ground for China's most advanced surveillance technology. He embarked on a heavy-handed crackdown on organized crime, while reviving Mao-era Communist songs in a campaign he called "sing red, smash black." Bo's police chief, Wang Lijun, oversaw the anti-crime activites that human rights groups say involved torture and the detention of thousands of wrongly accused suspects.

The same wiretapping and surveillance equipment used in that campaign was used to monitor the activities of local officials and, according to the New York Times, President Hu in a phone call last August to an anti-corruption official visiting Chongqing.

Culture of Impunity

Using covert means to compile information to bring down political rivals is as old a practice as politics itself - in China and just about every other country, including the United States.

But rarely do you see such a high-level leader, like President Hu, under siege from such a mid-level, albeit influential, figure, like Bo.

"You have a sense of impunity, particularly at the top of the party leadership and for those who are descended from revolutionary gods," said Lewis. "You put the two together and you see things like this Bo story."

That impunity came to an end in March, when the government stripped Bo of key party posts and accused him of "serious disciplinary violations." His wife, Gu Kailing, faces murder allegations in the death of British businessman Neil Heywood.

Loss of Confidence

Cheng Li, a China analyst with the Washington-based research group the Brookings Institute, says most Chinese do not feel like they're living in a police state, but Bo's case and the story of blind dissident Chen Guangchen, have rattled the public's confidence in the system.

"The system is now known for its police brutality and torture. It failed because it does not provide any security for the Chinese public in terms of the terrible violation of law. So that certainly is a wakeup call for the Chinese government," he said.

Bo couldn't be any more different than Chen, the activist lawyer whose recent breakout from house arrest was the first news to push Bo from the headlines in weeks. But both knew intimately how Chinese officials can and will operate outside the rule of law.

After Chen served four years in prison for damaging property and disrupting traffic, the lawyer and his family were then trapped in their own home. Local Shandong province officials blocked the road to his house, put bars on his windows and installed security cameras.

An informal army of plainclothes thugs chased away visitors and, according to Chen's wife, severely beat and tortured both her and her husband. Human rights groups say local officials were punishing Chen for his work exposing forced abortions. He is now believed to be under the protection of U.S. diplomats in China.

Legal Loopholes

Beijing has not commented on Chen's case, nor has it acknowledged the reports of Bo's alleged wiretapping. But it has plastered state media reports of Bo's alleged corruption with pledges that transparency and the rule of law will be upheld.

Which laws are being enforced, is not as transparent, though. China has two legal systems: One of party discipline and the other of state law.

Bo is being held under "shuanggui," informal detention enforced by Communist Party disciplinary bodies outside the court system. His wife and Wang likely will face charges under the newly revised criminal procedure law. And Chen was subject to house arrest that had no basis in Chinese law.

Jacques deLisle, the director of the Center for East Asian Studies at the University of Pennsylvania, says the cases reveal the weaknesses in China's legal system.

"In fact, it works quite badly in highly politically charged cases, which includes both people who are characterized as dissidents or activists, such as Chen Guangchen, who takes on misbehavior or human rights violations by state actors, and somebody like Bo Xilai, who is so far up in the chain that he faces essentially politically-driven sanctions," he said.

China at a Crossroads

DeLisle says the central government, concerned about social stability during a leadership transition, is at a crossroads.

"So they're facing a choice of restarting and resuming what had been stalled reform or doubling down on trying to keep things under control and keep tumult within the party and within society in check," he said.

President Hu and Premier Wen Jiabao will be transferring power to a new generation of leaders next year, after modest but steady efforts to clean up corruption in the party ranks. The demise of Bo, who was expected to join the country's top leadership body, signals Beijing wants to steer away from the Maoist-style personality cult he propagated in Chongqing.

Holding Bo, his wife and his police chief accountable for alleged murder, corruption and abuse of power sends a positive signal, says Cheng Li.

"This potentially could be a landmark event for China's civil rights movement," he said, adding that the Communist Party has an opportunity to promote an independent legal system, and make its members answerable to the constitution.

But the likelihood of massive reform during a political transition is unlikely, according to Delisle, who says it will take a couple years for China's new leaders to reveal their policies.

"I don't think anybody thinks they're going to start out of the gate being radical reformers, unless a crisis really forces that upon them," he said. "And so far, I don't think we're facing a crisis of that magnitude."

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